Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature in the upper 70s for Chicago on May 18, establishing the 78°F or higher outcome as the clear market leader at 75.5% implied probability. This above-normal warmth results from southerly flow transporting a warmer air mass into the Midwest, exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date. Limited afternoon cloud cover and reduced Lake Michigan cooling further support elevated readings, while model consensus shows minimal risk of a late-day frontal shift. With official resolution hinging on verified observations at Chicago-area airports, traders are closely monitoring any final forecast adjustments ahead of tomorrow evening’s data release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 18 мая?
78°F или выше 69%
76–77°F 22%
74-75°F 3.7%
72-73°F 1.4%
$29,295 Объем
$29,295 Объем
59°F или ниже
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76–77°F
22%
78°F или выше
69%
78°F или выше 69%
76–77°F 22%
74-75°F 3.7%
72-73°F 1.4%
$29,295 Объем
$29,295 Объем
59°F или ниже
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76–77°F
22%
78°F или выше
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDRecent National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature in the upper 70s for Chicago on May 18, establishing the 78°F or higher outcome as the clear market leader at 75.5% implied probability. This above-normal warmth results from southerly flow transporting a warmer air mass into the Midwest, exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date. Limited afternoon cloud cover and reduced Lake Michigan cooling further support elevated readings, while model consensus shows minimal risk of a late-day frontal shift. With official resolution hinging on verified observations at Chicago-area airports, traders are closely monitoring any final forecast adjustments ahead of tomorrow evening’s data release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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