Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 33°C high in Guangzhou on May 13, anchored by official hourly surface observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station (ZGGG), which recorded a midday peak of 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds enhancing solar insolation. This exceeds China Meteorological Administration preseason forecasts of around 28–30°C, likely due to a transient high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting daytime heating beyond May climatological norms of 29–31°C. As evening progresses with temperatures now below 30°C and sunset nearing, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon convective lapse or measurement revision, with final daily data from CMA expected after 23:59 UTC+8.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 13?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 13?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$47,330 Объем
$47,330 Объем
13 мая 2026 г.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$47,330 Объем
$47,330 Объем
13 мая 2026 г.
25°C or below
$368 Объем
No
26°C
$1,946 Объем
No
27°C
$1,995 Объем
No
28°C
$3,596 Объем
No
29°C
$4,203 Объем
No
30°C
$1,715 Объем
No
31°C
$3,030 Объем
No
32°C
$3,299 Объем
No
33°C
$11,830 Объем
Yes
34°C
$7,787 Объем
No
35°C or higher
$7,562 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 33°C high in Guangzhou on May 13, anchored by official hourly surface observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station (ZGGG), which recorded a midday peak of 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds enhancing solar insolation. This exceeds China Meteorological Administration preseason forecasts of around 28–30°C, likely due to a transient high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting daytime heating beyond May climatological norms of 29–31°C. As evening progresses with temperatures now below 30°C and sunset nearing, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon convective lapse or measurement revision, with final daily data from CMA expected after 23:59 UTC+8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Объем
$47,330Дата окончания
13 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 33°C high in Guangzhou on May 13, anchored by official hourly surface observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station (ZGGG), which recorded a midday peak of 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds enhancing solar insolation. This exceeds China Meteorological Administration preseason forecasts of around 28–30°C, likely due to a transient high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting daytime heating beyond May climatological norms of 29–31°C. As evening progresses with temperatures now below 30°C and sunset nearing, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon convective lapse or measurement revision, with final daily data from CMA expected after 23:59 UTC+8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$47,330Дата окончания
13 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 33°C high in Guangzhou on May 13, anchored by official hourly surface observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station (ZGGG), which recorded a midday peak of 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds enhancing solar insolation. This exceeds China Meteorological Administration preseason forecasts of around 28–30°C, likely due to a transient high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting daytime heating beyond May climatological norms of 29–31°C. As evening progresses with temperatures now below 30°C and sunset nearing, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon convective lapse or measurement revision, with final daily data from CMA expected after 23:59 UTC+8.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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