Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds at near-certainty for that outcome. In mid-May, subtropical Hong Kong typically experiences highs of 26–29°C under the influence of the South China Sea high-pressure system, which suppresses cloud cover and allows moderate solar heating while persistent humidity and sea breezes limit further warming. This measured value aligns closely with climatological averages for the period and falls well within the range of verified station data. Only an improbable post-observation revision or a rare microclimate anomaly at the official site could shift the result, though such adjustments remain statistically negligible given the established measurement protocols.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 15 мая?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C или ниже <1%
20°C <1%
$291,880 Объем
$291,880 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C или ниже <1%
20°C <1%
$291,880 Объем
$291,880 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds at near-certainty for that outcome. In mid-May, subtropical Hong Kong typically experiences highs of 26–29°C under the influence of the South China Sea high-pressure system, which suppresses cloud cover and allows moderate solar heating while persistent humidity and sea breezes limit further warming. This measured value aligns closely with climatological averages for the period and falls well within the range of verified station data. Only an improbable post-observation revision or a rare microclimate anomaly at the official site could shift the result, though such adjustments remain statistically negligible given the established measurement protocols.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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