The overwhelming market consensus on a 27°C high reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily maximum temperature reading for May 15, 2026, obtained from calibrated instruments at the agency’s headquarters station. This value aligns with regional model consensus and surface observations under typical late-spring conditions of moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limited daytime heating. Official records undergo rigorous quality control before finalization, leaving minimal scope for revision. Only an unforeseen post-processing correction or a shift to an alternative reference station could alter the outcome, both of which remain highly improbable given the stability of the data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 15 мая?
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C или ниже <1%
20°C <1%
$290,861 Объем
$290,861 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C или ниже <1%
20°C <1%
$290,861 Объем
$290,861 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus on a 27°C high reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily maximum temperature reading for May 15, 2026, obtained from calibrated instruments at the agency’s headquarters station. This value aligns with regional model consensus and surface observations under typical late-spring conditions of moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limited daytime heating. Official records undergo rigorous quality control before finalization, leaving minimal scope for revision. Only an unforeseen post-processing correction or a shift to an alternative reference station could alter the outcome, both of which remain highly improbable given the stability of the data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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