The market's near-certain outcome of 25°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading for May 16, captured under stable high-pressure conditions with limited cloud cover and light winds that prevented stronger daytime heating. This value sits modestly below the city's long-term May average high near 28–29°C, consistent with normal interannual variability driven by sea-surface temperature patterns in the northern South China Sea. While broader climate trends point to gradually rising baselines, the day's outcome hinged on short-term synoptic factors rather than seasonal anomalies. New observational data releases or post-analysis revisions from the Observatory could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified daily records.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,787 Объем
$302,787 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,787 Объем
$302,787 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
19°C or below
$20,087 Объем
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Объем
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Объем
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Объем
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Объем
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Объем
<1%
25°C
$77,348 Объем
100%
26°C
$43,033 Объем
<1%
27°C
$39,653 Объем
<1%
28°C
$25,261 Объем
<1%
29°C or higher
$24,002 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain outcome of 25°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading for May 16, captured under stable high-pressure conditions with limited cloud cover and light winds that prevented stronger daytime heating. This value sits modestly below the city's long-term May average high near 28–29°C, consistent with normal interannual variability driven by sea-surface temperature patterns in the northern South China Sea. While broader climate trends point to gradually rising baselines, the day's outcome hinged on short-term synoptic factors rather than seasonal anomalies. New observational data releases or post-analysis revisions from the Observatory could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Объем
$302,787Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain outcome of 25°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading for May 16, captured under stable high-pressure conditions with limited cloud cover and light winds that prevented stronger daytime heating. This value sits modestly below the city's long-term May average high near 28–29°C, consistent with normal interannual variability driven by sea-surface temperature patterns in the northern South China Sea. While broader climate trends point to gradually rising baselines, the day's outcome hinged on short-term synoptic factors rather than seasonal anomalies. New observational data releases or post-analysis revisions from the Observatory could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$302,787Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's near-certain outcome of 25°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading for May 16, captured under stable high-pressure conditions with limited cloud cover and light winds that prevented stronger daytime heating. This value sits modestly below the city's long-term May average high near 28–29°C, consistent with normal interannual variability driven by sea-surface temperature patterns in the northern South China Sea. While broader climate trends point to gradually rising baselines, the day's outcome hinged on short-term synoptic factors rather than seasonal anomalies. New observational data releases or post-analysis revisions from the Observatory could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified daily records.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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