The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,785 Объем
$302,785 Объем
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,785 Объем
$302,785 Объем
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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