Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 15°C today, May 14, with hourly METAR reports peaking at this mark amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds around 13 mph, and relative humidity near 56%, limiting solar heating and convective warming. This aligns with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and UK Met Office guidance forecasting a daytime maximum of 15°C, well below the mid-May climatological average of 20–21°C due to a lingering cool air mass over the region. Trader consensus reflects this robust observational evidence, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to 100% implied probability. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision to NOAA's daily maximum—such as an overlooked sensor reading—but diurnal cooling now minimizes this risk, pending final data release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 14?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$52,475 Объем
$52,475 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$52,475 Объем
$52,475 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
9°C or below
$1,349 Объем
No
10°C
$1,379 Объем
No
11°C
$1,231 Объем
No
12°C
$3,222 Объем
No
13°C
$8,775 Объем
No
14°C
$7,008 Объем
No
15°C
$6,618 Объем
Yes
16°C
$3,923 Объем
No
17°C
$3,728 Объем
No
18°C
$5,099 Объем
No
19°C or higher
$10,143 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 15°C today, May 14, with hourly METAR reports peaking at this mark amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds around 13 mph, and relative humidity near 56%, limiting solar heating and convective warming. This aligns with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and UK Met Office guidance forecasting a daytime maximum of 15°C, well below the mid-May climatological average of 20–21°C due to a lingering cool air mass over the region. Trader consensus reflects this robust observational evidence, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to 100% implied probability. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision to NOAA's daily maximum—such as an overlooked sensor reading—but diurnal cooling now minimizes this risk, pending final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
Объем
$52,475Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 15°C today, May 14, with hourly METAR reports peaking at this mark amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds around 13 mph, and relative humidity near 56%, limiting solar heating and convective warming. This aligns with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and UK Met Office guidance forecasting a daytime maximum of 15°C, well below the mid-May climatological average of 20–21°C due to a lingering cool air mass over the region. Trader consensus reflects this robust observational evidence, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to 100% implied probability. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision to NOAA's daily maximum—such as an overlooked sensor reading—but diurnal cooling now minimizes this risk, pending final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$52,475Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 15°C today, May 14, with hourly METAR reports peaking at this mark amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds around 13 mph, and relative humidity near 56%, limiting solar heating and convective warming. This aligns with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and UK Met Office guidance forecasting a daytime maximum of 15°C, well below the mid-May climatological average of 20–21°C due to a lingering cool air mass over the region. Trader consensus reflects this robust observational evidence, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to 100% implied probability. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision to NOAA's daily maximum—such as an overlooked sensor reading—but diurnal cooling now minimizes this risk, pending final data release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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