Official meteorological observations from Istanbul's main weather stations have locked in a daily maximum of 21°C on May 15, driving the market's near-100% consensus on that outcome. This reading matches typical mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs range 19–23°C under moderate Mediterranean conditions and prevailing northwesterly flow that suppresses stronger southerly heat advection. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model guidance issued in the preceding days consistently projected stable temperatures near this threshold with low ensemble spread, confirming the absence of any brief warm anomaly capable of reaching 22°C. While minor microclimate variations at individual stations could theoretically alter the official high, the verified network average leaves no realistic path to a higher resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 15?
21°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$60,251 Объем
$60,251 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$60,251 Объем
$60,251 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
$523 Объем
No
13°C
$750 Объем
No
14°C
$1,867 Объем
No
15°C
$2,042 Объем
No
16°C
$2,731 Объем
No
17°C
$2,024 Объем
No
18°C
$4,435 Объем
No
19°C
$3,602 Объем
No
20°C
$24,343 Объем
No
21°C
$8,987 Объем
Yes
22°C or higher
$8,948 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Istanbul's main weather stations have locked in a daily maximum of 21°C on May 15, driving the market's near-100% consensus on that outcome. This reading matches typical mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs range 19–23°C under moderate Mediterranean conditions and prevailing northwesterly flow that suppresses stronger southerly heat advection. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model guidance issued in the preceding days consistently projected stable temperatures near this threshold with low ensemble spread, confirming the absence of any brief warm anomaly capable of reaching 22°C. While minor microclimate variations at individual stations could theoretically alter the official high, the verified network average leaves no realistic path to a higher resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Объем
$60,251Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Istanbul's main weather stations have locked in a daily maximum of 21°C on May 15, driving the market's near-100% consensus on that outcome. This reading matches typical mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs range 19–23°C under moderate Mediterranean conditions and prevailing northwesterly flow that suppresses stronger southerly heat advection. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model guidance issued in the preceding days consistently projected stable temperatures near this threshold with low ensemble spread, confirming the absence of any brief warm anomaly capable of reaching 22°C. While minor microclimate variations at individual stations could theoretically alter the official high, the verified network average leaves no realistic path to a higher resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$60,251Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official meteorological observations from Istanbul's main weather stations have locked in a daily maximum of 21°C on May 15, driving the market's near-100% consensus on that outcome. This reading matches typical mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs range 19–23°C under moderate Mediterranean conditions and prevailing northwesterly flow that suppresses stronger southerly heat advection. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model guidance issued in the preceding days consistently projected stable temperatures near this threshold with low ensemble spread, confirming the absence of any brief warm anomaly capable of reaching 22°C. While minor microclimate variations at individual stations could theoretically alter the official high, the verified network average leaves no realistic path to a higher resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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