Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
39°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,783 Объем
$38,783 Объем
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,783 Объем
$38,783 Объем
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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