Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula delivering mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, which limits daytime heating and positions Madrid’s maximum temperature near 22–23°C on May 17. These conditions align with the market-implied odds, where 22°C leads at 54.5% and 23°C follows at 27.5%, reflecting tight consensus in short-range temperature modeling for central Spain. Historical May averages around 21–24°C provide climatological context, while traders monitor real-time AEMET observations through the afternoon for any final model adjustments before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 17 мая?
22°C 55%
23°C 31%
21°C 15%
24°C 3.4%
$28,935 Объем
$28,935 Объем
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
15%
22°C
55%
23°C
31%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 55%
23°C 31%
21°C 15%
24°C 3.4%
$28,935 Объем
$28,935 Объем
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
15%
22°C
55%
23°C
31%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula delivering mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, which limits daytime heating and positions Madrid’s maximum temperature near 22–23°C on May 17. These conditions align with the market-implied odds, where 22°C leads at 54.5% and 23°C follows at 27.5%, reflecting tight consensus in short-range temperature modeling for central Spain. Historical May averages around 21–24°C provide climatological context, while traders monitor real-time AEMET observations through the afternoon for any final model adjustments before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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