Recent forecast models from Spain’s meteorological agency indicate peak temperatures in Madrid settling near 22–23°C today under stable spring high-pressure conditions typical for central Iberia in mid-May. This narrow range stems from moderate daytime heating, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with historical May averages around 21–24°C at the Madrid-Barajas station. Trader sentiment clusters on these outcomes because short-range numerical weather prediction runs show limited variability, with only small adjustments possible from afternoon observations. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded before midnight, underscoring how real-time AEMET data directly shapes market-implied probabilities in this low-uncertainty temperature market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 17 мая?
23°C 43%
22°C 39%
24°C 5.5%
25°C <1%
$36,431 Объем
$36,431 Объем
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
31%
23°C
43%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 43%
22°C 39%
24°C 5.5%
25°C <1%
$36,431 Объем
$36,431 Объем
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
31%
23°C
43%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDRecent forecast models from Spain’s meteorological agency indicate peak temperatures in Madrid settling near 22–23°C today under stable spring high-pressure conditions typical for central Iberia in mid-May. This narrow range stems from moderate daytime heating, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with historical May averages around 21–24°C at the Madrid-Barajas station. Trader sentiment clusters on these outcomes because short-range numerical weather prediction runs show limited variability, with only small adjustments possible from afternoon observations. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded before midnight, underscoring how real-time AEMET data directly shapes market-implied probabilities in this low-uncertainty temperature market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы