Current European meteorological model consensus points to a daily maximum of 21°C for Milan on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system over the Po Valley that limits vertical mixing and produces partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow. This setup favors modest daytime warming consistent with early-season climatology, keeping the market-implied probability for exactly 21°C at 89.5%. Minor upward shifts to 22°C remain possible only if afternoon insolation strengthens more than anticipated, though model guidance shows limited disagreement on peak intensity or timing. No significant frontal passages or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the outcome before the measurement window closes at Malpensa International Airport station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 17 мая?
21°C 91%
22°C 10%
23°C 1.0%
25°C or higher <1%
$33,922 Объем
$33,922 Объем
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
91%
22°C
10%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 91%
22°C 10%
23°C 1.0%
25°C or higher <1%
$33,922 Объем
$33,922 Объем
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
91%
22°C
10%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCCurrent European meteorological model consensus points to a daily maximum of 21°C for Milan on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system over the Po Valley that limits vertical mixing and produces partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow. This setup favors modest daytime warming consistent with early-season climatology, keeping the market-implied probability for exactly 21°C at 89.5%. Minor upward shifts to 22°C remain possible only if afternoon insolation strengthens more than anticipated, though model guidance shows limited disagreement on peak intensity or timing. No significant frontal passages or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the outcome before the measurement window closes at Malpensa International Airport station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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