Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) show Milan's maximum temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 21°C under stable high-pressure conditions and partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This consensus drives the 67.5% implied probability for 21°C, as multiple model runs consistently place the daytime peak in the 20–22°C range without significant warm or cold advection. Historical May climatology for northern Italy supports this outcome, with average highs near 22°C, while limited variability in recent observational data reduces the chance of outliers above 23°C. Updated model guidance expected later today could further refine these probabilities ahead of official station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 17 мая?
21°C 68%
22°C 18%
20°C 11%
23°C 5%
$23,889 Объем
$23,889 Объем
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
11%
21°C
68%
22°C
18%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 68%
22°C 18%
20°C 11%
23°C 5%
$23,889 Объем
$23,889 Объем
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
11%
21°C
68%
22°C
18%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) show Milan's maximum temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 21°C under stable high-pressure conditions and partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This consensus drives the 67.5% implied probability for 21°C, as multiple model runs consistently place the daytime peak in the 20–22°C range without significant warm or cold advection. Historical May climatology for northern Italy supports this outcome, with average highs near 22°C, while limited variability in recent observational data reduces the chance of outliers above 23°C. Updated model guidance expected later today could further refine these probabilities ahead of official station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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