Recent forecasts from European meteorological models and observations at Milan Malpensa indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with May climatology for the Po Valley, where average highs range from 21–23°C, positioning the 21°C outcome as the market leader at 64% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spreads around this value due to minimal variability in boundary-layer moisture and daytime heating, while adjacent outcomes at 20°C and 22°C capture the remaining uncertainty from small shifts in timing or local effects. Updated model runs and official station data through the afternoon will refine the final reading ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 17 мая?
21°C 63%
20°C 26%
22°C 14%
23°C 2.0%
$26,066 Объем
$26,066 Объем
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
26%
21°C
63%
22°C
14%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 63%
20°C 26%
22°C 14%
23°C 2.0%
$26,066 Объем
$26,066 Объем
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
26%
21°C
63%
22°C
14%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent forecasts from European meteorological models and observations at Milan Malpensa indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with May climatology for the Po Valley, where average highs range from 21–23°C, positioning the 21°C outcome as the market leader at 64% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spreads around this value due to minimal variability in boundary-layer moisture and daytime heating, while adjacent outcomes at 20°C and 22°C capture the remaining uncertainty from small shifts in timing or local effects. Updated model runs and official station data through the afternoon will refine the final reading ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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