Current ensemble forecasts from European and Russian meteorological models indicate Moscow's high on May 18 will likely peak in the upper 20s Celsius, with 28–29 °C outcomes favored due to a transient warm air advection ahead of an approaching Atlantic front. Afternoon solar heating under partly cloudy skies could briefly push readings toward 29 °C at official stations such as VDNKh, while increased cloud cover or light showers would cap the maximum closer to 27–28 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows daily maxima averaging 18–20 °C, so this elevated range reflects above-normal warmth; traders are monitoring the 18 UTC model runs and surface observations for any last adjustments before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 18 мая?
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 14%
$10,100 Объем
$10,100 Объем
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
30%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
3%
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 14%
$10,100 Объем
$10,100 Объем
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
30%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current ensemble forecasts from European and Russian meteorological models indicate Moscow's high on May 18 will likely peak in the upper 20s Celsius, with 28–29 °C outcomes favored due to a transient warm air advection ahead of an approaching Atlantic front. Afternoon solar heating under partly cloudy skies could briefly push readings toward 29 °C at official stations such as VDNKh, while increased cloud cover or light showers would cap the maximum closer to 27–28 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows daily maxima averaging 18–20 °C, so this elevated range reflects above-normal warmth; traders are monitoring the 18 UTC model runs and surface observations for any last adjustments before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы