Recent forecasts from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center highlight southerly air-mass advection transporting warmer subtropical air northward, positioning Moscow’s expected daytime high near 28–29 °C on May 18. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in peak heating tied to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which accounts for the near-even market split between the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 18–22 °C, so the current anomaly reflects a transient warm front rather than seasonal norms. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any late-day convective development that could trim or boost the maximum by 1–2 °C before official station readings close the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 18 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 18 мая?
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
НОВОЕ
$10,300 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,300 Объем
18 мая 2026 г.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
15%
28°C
30%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
3%
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
НОВОЕ
$10,300 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,300 Объем
18 мая 2026 г.
21°C or below
$870 Объем
<1%
22°C
$533 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,126 Объем
<1%
24°C
$2,474 Объем
<1%
25°C
$1,590 Объем
1%
26°C
$568 Объем
5%
27°C
$476 Объем
15%
28°C
$671 Объем
30%
29°C
$438 Объем
31%
30°C
$383 Объем
19%
31°C or higher
$1,174 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center highlight southerly air-mass advection transporting warmer subtropical air northward, positioning Moscow’s expected daytime high near 28–29 °C on May 18. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in peak heating tied to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which accounts for the near-even market split between the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 18–22 °C, so the current anomaly reflects a transient warm front rather than seasonal norms. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any late-day convective development that could trim or boost the maximum by 1–2 °C before official station readings close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$10,300Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center highlight southerly air-mass advection transporting warmer subtropical air northward, positioning Moscow’s expected daytime high near 28–29 °C on May 18. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in peak heating tied to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which accounts for the near-even market split between the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 18–22 °C, so the current anomaly reflects a transient warm front rather than seasonal norms. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any late-day convective development that could trim or boost the maximum by 1–2 °C before official station readings close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$10,300Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center highlight southerly air-mass advection transporting warmer subtropical air northward, positioning Moscow’s expected daytime high near 28–29 °C on May 18. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in peak heating tied to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which accounts for the near-even market split between the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 18–22 °C, so the current anomaly reflects a transient warm front rather than seasonal norms. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any late-day convective development that could trim or boost the maximum by 1–2 °C before official station readings close the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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