Trader consensus places the highest temperature in Munich today near 16°C, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from European weather models showing daytime maxima around that level under a mix of broken cloud and light northwesterly flow. Subtle differences in the timing of a weak frontal passage and local radiative effects near the Alps create the tight spread between 15°C and 17°C outcomes. These projections incorporate current surface observations and upper-air data indicating cooler-than-average air masses for mid-May, when climatological highs typically reach 18–20°C. Fresh model runs expected later today from the German Weather Service will clarify whether any last adjustments to cloud cover or wind speed shift the final recorded maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 17 мая?
16°C 45%
15°C 33%
17°C 22%
14°C 3.5%
$18,263 Объем
$18,263 Объем
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
33%
16°C
45%
17°C
22%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 45%
15°C 33%
17°C 22%
14°C 3.5%
$18,263 Объем
$18,263 Объем
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
33%
16°C
45%
17°C
22%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMTrader consensus places the highest temperature in Munich today near 16°C, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from European weather models showing daytime maxima around that level under a mix of broken cloud and light northwesterly flow. Subtle differences in the timing of a weak frontal passage and local radiative effects near the Alps create the tight spread between 15°C and 17°C outcomes. These projections incorporate current surface observations and upper-air data indicating cooler-than-average air masses for mid-May, when climatological highs typically reach 18–20°C. Fresh model runs expected later today from the German Weather Service will clarify whether any last adjustments to cloud cover or wind speed shift the final recorded maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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