Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System model runs point to a highest temperature in Munich on May 19 near 17–18°C, driven by a mild southerly flow under increasing high cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some solutions supporting brief clearing and peaks near 19°C while others incorporate light showers that could cap readings at 17°C or below. These conditions follow a period of variable spring weather, placing the projected maximum close to the May climatological average of 17–19°C at the Munich Airport station. Traders are closely monitoring the next model updates and observational trends over the next 48 hours, as small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation could easily move the outcome between the tightly bunched leading probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 19 мая?
18°C 35%
17°C 26%
19°C 22%
16°C 12%
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
12%
17°C
26%
18°C
35%
19°C
22%
20°C
4%
21°C или выше
1%
18°C 35%
17°C 26%
19°C 22%
16°C 12%
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
12%
17°C
26%
18°C
35%
19°C
22%
20°C
4%
21°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMLatest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System model runs point to a highest temperature in Munich on May 19 near 17–18°C, driven by a mild southerly flow under increasing high cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some solutions supporting brief clearing and peaks near 19°C while others incorporate light showers that could cap readings at 17°C or below. These conditions follow a period of variable spring weather, placing the projected maximum close to the May climatological average of 17–19°C at the Munich Airport station. Traders are closely monitoring the next model updates and observational trends over the next 48 hours, as small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation could easily move the outcome between the tightly bunched leading probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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