Current forecasts from the National Meteorological Service of Panama and major ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures of 34–36°C in Panama City today, driven by peak May solar insolation at low latitudes, a dry continental air mass advecting from northern Central America, and minimal cloud cover expected to allow strong surface heating. This aligns with the city’s tropical lowland climatology, where May highs average 32–34.5°C, and supports the market’s overwhelming consensus on 33°C or higher. Realistic challenges to this outcome include persistent convective activity from the Intertropical Convergence Zone producing afternoon showers that enhance evaporative cooling, or an unexpected increase in low-level humidity that caps maximum temperatures below the threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панаме 17 мая?
33°C or higher 99.4%
32°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$25,086 Объем
$25,086 Объем
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
99%
33°C or higher 99.4%
32°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$25,086 Объем
$25,086 Объем
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGCurrent forecasts from the National Meteorological Service of Panama and major ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures of 34–36°C in Panama City today, driven by peak May solar insolation at low latitudes, a dry continental air mass advecting from northern Central America, and minimal cloud cover expected to allow strong surface heating. This aligns with the city’s tropical lowland climatology, where May highs average 32–34.5°C, and supports the market’s overwhelming consensus on 33°C or higher. Realistic challenges to this outcome include persistent convective activity from the Intertropical Convergence Zone producing afternoon showers that enhance evaporative cooling, or an unexpected increase in low-level humidity that caps maximum temperatures below the threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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