Official forecasts from Météo-France and European model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions and northerly flow have kept daytime readings suppressed, aligning closely with seasonal norms for mid-May. Minor model disagreements exist on exact peak timing but remain within the 15–17°C range, leaving little room for upward revision. The primary resolution risk lies in post-forecast observational adjustments by official stations, though current data trends make any shift to 17°C or higher highly improbable before the daily close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 16 мая?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,191 Объем
$155,191 Объем
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,191 Объем
$155,191 Объем
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official forecasts from Météo-France and European model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions and northerly flow have kept daytime readings suppressed, aligning closely with seasonal norms for mid-May. Minor model disagreements exist on exact peak timing but remain within the 15–17°C range, leaving little room for upward revision. The primary resolution risk lies in post-forecast observational adjustments by official stations, though current data trends make any shift to 17°C or higher highly improbable before the daily close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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