Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,588 Объем
$44,588 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
20°C or below
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,588 Объем
$44,588 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
20°C or below
$4,884 Объем
No
21°C
$22,769 Объем
Yes
22°C
$3,590 Объем
No
23°C
$2,786 Объем
No
24°C
$1,603 Объем
No
25°C
$2,070 Объем
No
26°C
$2,010 Объем
No
27°C
$1,081 Объем
No
28°C
$1,000 Объем
No
29°C
$1,469 Объем
No
30°C or higher
$1,325 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$44,588Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$44,588Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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