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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?

icon for Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?

26°C 100.0%

20°C or below <1%

21°C <1%

22°C <1%

Polymarket

$66,182 Объем

26°C 100.0%

20°C or below <1%

21°C <1%

22°C <1%

Polymarket

$66,182 Объем

20°C or below

$816 Объем

No

21°C

$1,111 Объем

No

22°C

$1,139 Объем

No

23°C

$1,738 Объем

No

24°C

$4,609 Объем

No

25°C

$4,344 Объем

No

26°C

$17,356 Объем

Yes

27°C

$9,309 Объем

No

28°C

$10,605 Объем

No

29°C

$6,536 Объем

No

30°C or higher

$8,618 Объем

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Shenzhen's highest temperature today is locked in at 26°C by overwhelming trader consensus, reflecting the latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration that show stable subtropical high pressure and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime peaks. Recent model runs indicate persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass have held readings below the city's May climatological average of 28–30°C. Resolution hinges on verified hourly observations from central Shenzhen stations, where sustained readings above 26.5°C would be required to alter outcomes. Updated global ensemble guidance shows negligible warming risk through evening hours, though brief urban heat-island spikes remain the main variable that could still shift final recorded values.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$66,182
Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Shenzhen's highest temperature today is locked in at 26°C by overwhelming trader consensus, reflecting the latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration that show stable subtropical high pressure and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime peaks. Recent model runs indicate persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass have held readings below the city's May climatological average of 28–30°C. Resolution hinges on verified hourly observations from central Shenzhen stations, where sustained readings above 26.5°C would be required to alter outcomes. Updated global ensemble guidance shows negligible warming risk through evening hours, though brief urban heat-island spikes remain the main variable that could still shift final recorded values.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$66,182
Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «26°C» с 100%, за ним следует «20°C or below» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $66.2K с момента запуска рынка May 14, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?» — «26°C» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «20°C or below» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.