Official measurements from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station established a daily maximum of 15°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certain levels for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had earlier projected temperatures in the 13–15°C range under a stable high-pressure system with limited daytime heating and moderate northerly flow, consistent with historical May averages near 19°C but tempered by recent cool-air advection. The market treats the station’s verified reading—rather than broader regional estimates—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the recorded peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$68,699 Объем
$68,699 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$68,699 Объем
$68,699 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
$8,080 Объем
No
13°C
$15,774 Объем
No
14°C
$7,643 Объем
No
15°C
$11,737 Объем
Yes
16°C
$7,568 Объем
No
17°C
$4,298 Объем
No
18°C
$2,283 Объем
No
19°C
$3,267 Объем
No
20°C
$3,392 Объем
No
21°C
$1,620 Объем
No
22°C or higher
$3,040 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station established a daily maximum of 15°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certain levels for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had earlier projected temperatures in the 13–15°C range under a stable high-pressure system with limited daytime heating and moderate northerly flow, consistent with historical May averages near 19°C but tempered by recent cool-air advection. The market treats the station’s verified reading—rather than broader regional estimates—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$68,699Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station established a daily maximum of 15°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certain levels for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had earlier projected temperatures in the 13–15°C range under a stable high-pressure system with limited daytime heating and moderate northerly flow, consistent with historical May averages near 19°C but tempered by recent cool-air advection. The market treats the station’s verified reading—rather than broader regional estimates—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$68,699Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Official measurements from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station established a daily maximum of 15°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certain levels for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had earlier projected temperatures in the 13–15°C range under a stable high-pressure system with limited daytime heating and moderate northerly flow, consistent with historical May averages near 19°C but tempered by recent cool-air advection. The market treats the station’s verified reading—rather than broader regional estimates—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the recorded peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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