Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum near 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus around the 13°C outcome. This represents a cool anomaly roughly 4–5°C below the mid-May climatological average of 17–20°C, driven by persistent northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine final resolution, with minor model spread or localized urban heat effects the main variables that could shift the exact high by 1°C. Traders are closely monitoring any late-day updates from these agencies before the market settles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 17 мая?
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$48,793 Объем
$48,793 Объем
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$48,793 Объем
$48,793 Объем
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum near 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus around the 13°C outcome. This represents a cool anomaly roughly 4–5°C below the mid-May climatological average of 17–20°C, driven by persistent northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine final resolution, with minor model spread or localized urban heat effects the main variables that could shift the exact high by 1°C. Traders are closely monitoring any late-day updates from these agencies before the market settles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы