Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for May 18 projects an overnight low in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City, reflecting a moderating air mass with southerly flow and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heaviest positioning on the 66-67°F bin at 47 percent implied probability, as ensemble forecasts converge on minimum temperatures several degrees above the long-term Central Park climatological normal of roughly 53°F for mid-May. Recent model runs show reduced variability in dew-point and wind fields, narrowing the range of possible outcomes and shifting trader consensus away from cooler bins below 64°F. Forecasters continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover ahead of the daily minimum reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 18 мая?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 18 мая?
66–67°F 36%
68-69°F 26.9%
64-65°F 12%
70-71°F 3.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 мая 2026 г.
53°F или ниже
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
12%
66–67°F
47%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
3%
72°F или выше
2%
66–67°F 36%
68-69°F 26.9%
64-65°F 12%
70-71°F 3.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 мая 2026 г.
53°F или ниже
$2,072 Объем
<1%
54-55°F
$75 Объем
<1%
56-57°F
$113 Объем
<1%
58-59°F
$107 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$485 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$410 Объем
3%
64-65°F
$110 Объем
12%
66–67°F
$349 Объем
47%
68-69°F
$496 Объем
20%
70-71°F
$503 Объем
3%
72°F или выше
$2,237 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for May 18 projects an overnight low in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City, reflecting a moderating air mass with southerly flow and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heaviest positioning on the 66-67°F bin at 47 percent implied probability, as ensemble forecasts converge on minimum temperatures several degrees above the long-term Central Park climatological normal of roughly 53°F for mid-May. Recent model runs show reduced variability in dew-point and wind fields, narrowing the range of possible outcomes and shifting trader consensus away from cooler bins below 64°F. Forecasters continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover ahead of the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$6,958Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for May 18 projects an overnight low in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City, reflecting a moderating air mass with southerly flow and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heaviest positioning on the 66-67°F bin at 47 percent implied probability, as ensemble forecasts converge on minimum temperatures several degrees above the long-term Central Park climatological normal of roughly 53°F for mid-May. Recent model runs show reduced variability in dew-point and wind fields, narrowing the range of possible outcomes and shifting trader consensus away from cooler bins below 64°F. Forecasters continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover ahead of the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6,958Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGACurrent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for May 18 projects an overnight low in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City, reflecting a moderating air mass with southerly flow and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heaviest positioning on the 66-67°F bin at 47 percent implied probability, as ensemble forecasts converge on minimum temperatures several degrees above the long-term Central Park climatological normal of roughly 53°F for mid-May. Recent model runs show reduced variability in dew-point and wind fields, narrowing the range of possible outcomes and shifting trader consensus away from cooler bins below 64°F. Forecasters continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover ahead of the daily minimum reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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