The Bank of Canada’s April 29 decision to hold the overnight policy rate steady at 2.25 percent, amid surging energy prices from Middle East developments and ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainty, underpins the overwhelming 96.7 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 meeting. Traders interpret the central bank’s communications as a clear signal to look through transitory inflation spikes while monitoring whether higher energy costs feed into broader price pressures or weaken growth further. Recent data showing resilient but not overheating activity, combined with anchored inflation expectations, reinforce this consensus. A shift toward a hike or cut would require either sustained inflation above target or a sharper economic slowdown than currently priced, both of which remain low-probability scenarios before the next Monetary Policy Report on July 15.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Canada decision in June?
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change 96.6%
Increase 2.5%
25 bps decrease <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,662 ปริมาณ
$26,662 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
97%
Increase
3%
No change 96.6%
Increase 2.5%
25 bps decrease <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,662 ปริมาณ
$26,662 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$4,584 ปริมาณ
<1%
25 bps decrease
$4,363 ปริมาณ
1%
No change
$9,705 ปริมาณ
97%
Increase
$8,011 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Canada’s April 29 decision to hold the overnight policy rate steady at 2.25 percent, amid surging energy prices from Middle East developments and ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainty, underpins the overwhelming 96.7 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 meeting. Traders interpret the central bank’s communications as a clear signal to look through transitory inflation spikes while monitoring whether higher energy costs feed into broader price pressures or weaken growth further. Recent data showing resilient but not overheating activity, combined with anchored inflation expectations, reinforce this consensus. A shift toward a hike or cut would require either sustained inflation above target or a sharper economic slowdown than currently priced, both of which remain low-probability scenarios before the next Monetary Policy Report on July 15.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,662วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Canada’s April 29 decision to hold the overnight policy rate steady at 2.25 percent, amid surging energy prices from Middle East developments and ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainty, underpins the overwhelming 96.7 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 meeting. Traders interpret the central bank’s communications as a clear signal to look through transitory inflation spikes while monitoring whether higher energy costs feed into broader price pressures or weaken growth further. Recent data showing resilient but not overheating activity, combined with anchored inflation expectations, reinforce this consensus. A shift toward a hike or cut would require either sustained inflation above target or a sharper economic slowdown than currently priced, both of which remain low-probability scenarios before the next Monetary Policy Report on July 15.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,662วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Canada’s April 29 decision to hold the overnight policy rate steady at 2.25 percent, amid surging energy prices from Middle East developments and ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainty, underpins the overwhelming 96.7 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 meeting. Traders interpret the central bank’s communications as a clear signal to look through transitory inflation spikes while monitoring whether higher energy costs feed into broader price pressures or weaken growth further. Recent data showing resilient but not overheating activity, combined with anchored inflation expectations, reinforce this consensus. A shift toward a hike or cut would require either sustained inflation above target or a sharper economic slowdown than currently priced, both of which remain low-probability scenarios before the next Monetary Policy Report on July 15.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย