The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 6.50% and explicitly signal an end to its two-year easing cycle underpins the 91.5% implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. The board cited greater economic slack after a Q1 contraction alongside headline inflation easing to 4.45% in April, with forecasts still pointing to convergence on the 3% target only in Q2 2027 amid upside risks from non-core prices and external uncertainty. Traders view this forward guidance as anchoring the monetary policy stance at its current level, consistent with the split 3-2 vote and subsequent analyst consensus for a prolonged hold. A material acceleration in core inflation or renewed peso depreciation could reopen the door to further easing, though such shifts appear limited in the near term given the bank’s data-dependent approach.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 91.8%
Decrease 5.6%
Increase 3.5%
$10,987 ปริมาณ
$10,987 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
Decrease
6%
No change
92%
Increase
4%
No change 91.8%
Decrease 5.6%
Increase 3.5%
$10,987 ปริมาณ
$10,987 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
Decrease
$649 ปริมาณ
6%
No change
$9,185 ปริมาณ
92%
Increase
$1,153 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 6.50% and explicitly signal an end to its two-year easing cycle underpins the 91.5% implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. The board cited greater economic slack after a Q1 contraction alongside headline inflation easing to 4.45% in April, with forecasts still pointing to convergence on the 3% target only in Q2 2027 amid upside risks from non-core prices and external uncertainty. Traders view this forward guidance as anchoring the monetary policy stance at its current level, consistent with the split 3-2 vote and subsequent analyst consensus for a prolonged hold. A material acceleration in core inflation or renewed peso depreciation could reopen the door to further easing, though such shifts appear limited in the near term given the bank’s data-dependent approach.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,987วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 6.50% and explicitly signal an end to its two-year easing cycle underpins the 91.5% implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. The board cited greater economic slack after a Q1 contraction alongside headline inflation easing to 4.45% in April, with forecasts still pointing to convergence on the 3% target only in Q2 2027 amid upside risks from non-core prices and external uncertainty. Traders view this forward guidance as anchoring the monetary policy stance at its current level, consistent with the split 3-2 vote and subsequent analyst consensus for a prolonged hold. A material acceleration in core inflation or renewed peso depreciation could reopen the door to further easing, though such shifts appear limited in the near term given the bank’s data-dependent approach.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,987วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 6.50% and explicitly signal an end to its two-year easing cycle underpins the 91.5% implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. The board cited greater economic slack after a Q1 contraction alongside headline inflation easing to 4.45% in April, with forecasts still pointing to convergence on the 3% target only in Q2 2027 amid upside risks from non-core prices and external uncertainty. Traders view this forward guidance as anchoring the monetary policy stance at its current level, consistent with the split 3-2 vote and subsequent analyst consensus for a prolonged hold. A material acceleration in core inflation or renewed peso depreciation could reopen the door to further easing, though such shifts appear limited in the near term given the bank’s data-dependent approach.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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