The December 6, 2026, legislative vote in Guinea-Bissau occurs under transitional military rule following the 2025 coup and annulled polls, with a recently approved constitution that shrinks the National People's Assembly to 65 seats across fewer constituencies and strengthens presidential authority over cabinet formation. Trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented field in which Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” FREPASNA, PT, and smaller lists each draw limited support, as opposition groups such as PAIGC largely boycotted the August 2026 constitutional referendum and face ongoing restrictions. This dispersion, combined with the absence of published opinion data and uncertainty over alliance formation or junta influence on the process, sustains tight implied probabilities. Late-cycle coalition shifts, formal candidate lists, or external mediation could consolidate backing and widen margins before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 25.7%
FREPASNA 15.0%
PT 6.2%
FLING 4.3%
$159,104 ปริมาณ
$159,104 ปริมาณ
Nov 22, 2025
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
20%
FREPASNA
15%
PT
6%
FLING
4%
PS
3%
MUNDO-GB
3%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 25.7%
FREPASNA 15.0%
PT 6.2%
FLING 4.3%
$159,104 ปริมาณ
$159,104 ปริมาณ
Nov 22, 2025
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$48,541 ปริมาณ
20%
FREPASNA
$26,739 ปริมาณ
15%
PT
$21,871 ปริมาณ
6%
FLING
$12,947 ปริมาณ
4%
PS
$26,121 ปริมาณ
3%
MUNDO-GB
$22,884 ปริมาณ
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The December 6, 2026, legislative vote in Guinea-Bissau occurs under transitional military rule following the 2025 coup and annulled polls, with a recently approved constitution that shrinks the National People's Assembly to 65 seats across fewer constituencies and strengthens presidential authority over cabinet formation. Trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented field in which Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” FREPASNA, PT, and smaller lists each draw limited support, as opposition groups such as PAIGC largely boycotted the August 2026 constitutional referendum and face ongoing restrictions. This dispersion, combined with the absence of published opinion data and uncertainty over alliance formation or junta influence on the process, sustains tight implied probabilities. Late-cycle coalition shifts, formal candidate lists, or external mediation could consolidate backing and widen margins before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$159,104วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 23, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The December 6, 2026, legislative vote in Guinea-Bissau occurs under transitional military rule following the 2025 coup and annulled polls, with a recently approved constitution that shrinks the National People's Assembly to 65 seats across fewer constituencies and strengthens presidential authority over cabinet formation. Trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented field in which Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” FREPASNA, PT, and smaller lists each draw limited support, as opposition groups such as PAIGC largely boycotted the August 2026 constitutional referendum and face ongoing restrictions. This dispersion, combined with the absence of published opinion data and uncertainty over alliance formation or junta influence on the process, sustains tight implied probabilities. Late-cycle coalition shifts, formal candidate lists, or external mediation could consolidate backing and widen margins before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$159,104วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 23, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The December 6, 2026, legislative vote in Guinea-Bissau occurs under transitional military rule following the 2025 coup and annulled polls, with a recently approved constitution that shrinks the National People's Assembly to 65 seats across fewer constituencies and strengthens presidential authority over cabinet formation. Trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented field in which Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” FREPASNA, PT, and smaller lists each draw limited support, as opposition groups such as PAIGC largely boycotted the August 2026 constitutional referendum and face ongoing restrictions. This dispersion, combined with the absence of published opinion data and uncertainty over alliance formation or junta influence on the process, sustains tight implied probabilities. Late-cycle coalition shifts, formal candidate lists, or external mediation could consolidate backing and widen margins before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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