Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and Istanbul Airport METAR reports confirm the day's highest surface air temperature at 15°C, recorded amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs, which forecasted subdued highs due to a stable boundary layer and low-level moisture trapping cooler air near the surface—deviating from May's climatological average of 21°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with real capital wagering on resolution criteria met. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and solar insolation spiking temperatures post-6 PM local time before sunset around 8 PM, though current satellite imagery shows no such trend emerging.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 14?
15°C 99.9%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$52,372 ปริมาณ
$52,372 ปริมาณ
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.9%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$52,372 ปริมาณ
$52,372 ปริมาณ
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and Istanbul Airport METAR reports confirm the day's highest surface air temperature at 15°C, recorded amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs, which forecasted subdued highs due to a stable boundary layer and low-level moisture trapping cooler air near the surface—deviating from May's climatological average of 21°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with real capital wagering on resolution criteria met. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and solar insolation spiking temperatures post-6 PM local time before sunset around 8 PM, though current satellite imagery shows no such trend emerging.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย