Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lagos on May 13?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 13?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,908 ปริมาณ
$40,908 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,908 ปริมาณ
$40,908 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
26°C or below
$2,216 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$550 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$3,673 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$1,066 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,792 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$2,640 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$3,040 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$8,764 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C
$4,280 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$3,845 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$9,043 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,908วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,908วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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