National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs project a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns closely with climatological May averages around 76°F and supports the market's dominant 95.5% implied probability for the 76-77°F outcome. Minor upward revisions remain possible if afternoon mixing strengthens or winds shift, though current observations and model agreement limit the odds of reaching 78°F or higher to just 5%. Traders are monitoring any late-day updates from official stations like LaGuardia before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 92%
78-79°F 8.9%
80-81°F 1.0%
82-83°F <1%
$152,072 ปริมาณ
$152,072 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
76-77°F
92%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 92%
78-79°F 8.9%
80-81°F 1.0%
82-83°F <1%
$152,072 ปริมาณ
$152,072 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
76-77°F
$31,231 ปริมาณ
92%
78-79°F
$18,052 ปริมาณ
9%
80-81°F
$24,953 ปริมาณ
1%
82-83°F
$22,741 ปริมาณ
<1%
84°F or higher
$16,853 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs project a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns closely with climatological May averages around 76°F and supports the market's dominant 95.5% implied probability for the 76-77°F outcome. Minor upward revisions remain possible if afternoon mixing strengthens or winds shift, though current observations and model agreement limit the odds of reaching 78°F or higher to just 5%. Traders are monitoring any late-day updates from official stations like LaGuardia before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$152,072วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs project a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns closely with climatological May averages around 76°F and supports the market's dominant 95.5% implied probability for the 76-77°F outcome. Minor upward revisions remain possible if afternoon mixing strengthens or winds shift, though current observations and model agreement limit the odds of reaching 78°F or higher to just 5%. Traders are monitoring any late-day updates from official stations like LaGuardia before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$152,072วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs project a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns closely with climatological May averages around 76°F and supports the market's dominant 95.5% implied probability for the 76-77°F outcome. Minor upward revisions remain possible if afternoon mixing strengthens or winds shift, though current observations and model agreement limit the odds of reaching 78°F or higher to just 5%. Traders are monitoring any late-day updates from official stations like LaGuardia before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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