Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
21°C 97.9%
22°C 1.3%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$141,359 ปริมาณ
$141,359 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
98%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 97.9%
22°C 1.3%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$141,359 ปริมาณ
$141,359 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
18°C
$18,715 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$12,059 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$34,501 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$10,142 ปริมาณ
98%
22°C
$7,800 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$8,000 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$7,242 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$9,330 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$10,413 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$141,359วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$141,359วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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