Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year in July 2026, alongside resilient growth, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% funds rate target while markets price in possible hikes by year-end. The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades near 4.67–4.70%, reflecting these elevated rate expectations, substantial Treasury issuance to finance deficits, and limited prospects for near-term easing. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, the August CPI release on September 11, and subsequent employment data that could shift the implied policy path. Fiscal supply dynamics and inflation trajectory remain central to whether yields test higher levels before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$286,114 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4.8%
64%
5.0%
29%
5.2%
7%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
6%
$286,114 ปริมาณ
4.8%
$59,302 ปริมาณ
64%
5.0%
$81,123 ปริมาณ
29%
5.2%
$26,278 ปริมาณ
7%
5.5%
$5,832 ปริมาณ
7%
5.7%
$4,234 ปริมาณ
5%
6.0%
$3,059 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year in July 2026, alongside resilient growth, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% funds rate target while markets price in possible hikes by year-end. The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades near 4.67–4.70%, reflecting these elevated rate expectations, substantial Treasury issuance to finance deficits, and limited prospects for near-term easing. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, the August CPI release on September 11, and subsequent employment data that could shift the implied policy path. Fiscal supply dynamics and inflation trajectory remain central to whether yields test higher levels before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$286,114วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year in July 2026, alongside resilient growth, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% funds rate target while markets price in possible hikes by year-end. The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades near 4.67–4.70%, reflecting these elevated rate expectations, substantial Treasury issuance to finance deficits, and limited prospects for near-term easing. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, the August CPI release on September 11, and subsequent employment data that could shift the implied policy path. Fiscal supply dynamics and inflation trajectory remain central to whether yields test higher levels before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$286,114วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year in July 2026, alongside resilient growth, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% funds rate target while markets price in possible hikes by year-end. The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades near 4.67–4.70%, reflecting these elevated rate expectations, substantial Treasury issuance to finance deficits, and limited prospects for near-term easing. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, the August CPI release on September 11, and subsequent employment data that could shift the implied policy path. Fiscal supply dynamics and inflation trajectory remain central to whether yields test higher levels before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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