Recent observational records show global surface temperatures continuing their long-term rise due to elevated greenhouse gas levels, with neutral ENSO conditions currently limiting major cooling or warming influences. This positions the 1.10–1.14°C anomaly as the central expectation for May 2026, consistent with recent monthly averages and ensemble model outputs from agencies tracking ocean and atmospheric data. Short-term variability from sea surface temperatures could still shift outcomes modestly lower or higher before month-end, while updated forecasts in coming weeks will clarify any revisions to these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMay 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.10–1.14ºC 62%
<1.10ºC 17%
1.15–1.19ºC 13%
1.20–1.24ºC 7%
$58,198 ปริมาณ
$58,198 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
<1.10ºC
17%
1.10–1.14ºC
62%
1.15–1.19ºC
13%
1.20–1.24ºC
7%
1.25–1.29ºC
3%
>1.29ºC
1%
1.10–1.14ºC 62%
<1.10ºC 17%
1.15–1.19ºC 13%
1.20–1.24ºC 7%
$58,198 ปริมาณ
$58,198 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
<1.10ºC
$23,916 ปริมาณ
17%
1.10–1.14ºC
$5,389 ปริมาณ
62%
1.15–1.19ºC
$8,419 ปริมาณ
13%
1.20–1.24ºC
$6,181 ปริมาณ
7%
1.25–1.29ºC
$6,539 ปริมาณ
3%
>1.29ºC
$7,755 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent observational records show global surface temperatures continuing their long-term rise due to elevated greenhouse gas levels, with neutral ENSO conditions currently limiting major cooling or warming influences. This positions the 1.10–1.14°C anomaly as the central expectation for May 2026, consistent with recent monthly averages and ensemble model outputs from agencies tracking ocean and atmospheric data. Short-term variability from sea surface temperatures could still shift outcomes modestly lower or higher before month-end, while updated forecasts in coming weeks will clarify any revisions to these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,198วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent observational records show global surface temperatures continuing their long-term rise due to elevated greenhouse gas levels, with neutral ENSO conditions currently limiting major cooling or warming influences. This positions the 1.10–1.14°C anomaly as the central expectation for May 2026, consistent with recent monthly averages and ensemble model outputs from agencies tracking ocean and atmospheric data. Short-term variability from sea surface temperatures could still shift outcomes modestly lower or higher before month-end, while updated forecasts in coming weeks will clarify any revisions to these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,198วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational records show global surface temperatures continuing their long-term rise due to elevated greenhouse gas levels, with neutral ENSO conditions currently limiting major cooling or warming influences. This positions the 1.10–1.14°C anomaly as the central expectation for May 2026, consistent with recent monthly averages and ensemble model outputs from agencies tracking ocean and atmospheric data. Short-term variability from sea surface temperatures could still shift outcomes modestly lower or higher before month-end, while updated forecasts in coming weeks will clarify any revisions to these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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