US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain centered on Iran's stockpile of roughly 440 kilograms of 60 percent enriched uranium following the 2025-2026 conflict, with Washington pressing for its removal to the United States or a third country while Tehran proposes monitored down-blending inside its borders. Recent statements from President Trump indicate openness to a 20-year moratorium on enrichment if accompanied by verifiable guarantees, marking a shift from earlier demands for permanent zero enrichment and full facility dismantlement. Diplomatic rounds in Islamabad and Geneva have produced no final agreement, leaving the timeline for any transfer uncertain amid stalled IAEA access and technical disputes over extraction from damaged sites. Upcoming talks and potential sanctions-relief packages tied to verifiable stockpile controls represent the main catalysts that could accelerate or delay resolution before year-end deadlines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯได้รับยูเรเนียมที่อุดมด้วยอิหร่านโดย...?
$14,764,510 ปริมาณ
31 พฤษภาคม
6%
June 30
13%
31 ธันวาคม
27%
$14,764,510 ปริมาณ
31 พฤษภาคม
6%
June 30
13%
31 ธันวาคม
27%
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain centered on Iran's stockpile of roughly 440 kilograms of 60 percent enriched uranium following the 2025-2026 conflict, with Washington pressing for its removal to the United States or a third country while Tehran proposes monitored down-blending inside its borders. Recent statements from President Trump indicate openness to a 20-year moratorium on enrichment if accompanied by verifiable guarantees, marking a shift from earlier demands for permanent zero enrichment and full facility dismantlement. Diplomatic rounds in Islamabad and Geneva have produced no final agreement, leaving the timeline for any transfer uncertain amid stalled IAEA access and technical disputes over extraction from damaged sites. Upcoming talks and potential sanctions-relief packages tied to verifiable stockpile controls represent the main catalysts that could accelerate or delay resolution before year-end deadlines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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