Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s May 17 high near 19°C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow, aligning with mid-May climatology where average peaks reach 21–22°C. Trader sentiment has converged on the 19°C outcome at 38.5% implied probability because ensemble runs show limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover and modest humidity, keeping temperatures from climbing further. Recent model updates have slightly cooled expectations from the 20–21°C range observed on May 16, reinforcing the 18–20°C bracket that holds over 85% combined probability. Resolution hinges on the official reading at Esenboğa International Airport, with final model guidance expected overnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
19°C 37%
20°C 26%
18°C 21%
21°C 16%
$12,779 Vol.
$12,779 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
21%
19°C
37%
20°C
26%
21°C
16%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 37%
20°C 26%
18°C 21%
21°C 16%
$12,779 Vol.
$12,779 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
21%
19°C
37%
20°C
26%
21°C
16%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACLatest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s May 17 high near 19°C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow, aligning with mid-May climatology where average peaks reach 21–22°C. Trader sentiment has converged on the 19°C outcome at 38.5% implied probability because ensemble runs show limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover and modest humidity, keeping temperatures from climbing further. Recent model updates have slightly cooled expectations from the 20–21°C range observed on May 16, reinforcing the 18–20°C bracket that holds over 85% combined probability. Resolution hinges on the official reading at Esenboğa International Airport, with final model guidance expected overnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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