Current forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather project a daytime high of 27–30 °C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors strong solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Recent observations confirm similar conditions, with maxima of 26–29 °C recorded on May 14–15 and early-month peaks near 33 °C, all well above the May climatological average of 26 °C at Benito Juárez International Airport. Model consensus indicates only isolated afternoon showers, limiting the risk of prolonged cloud cover that could suppress temperatures below 27 °C. These meteorological factors explain the 89 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher, with remaining probability concentrated on modest cooling from brief convective activity. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will finalize resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 18?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 18?
27°C or higher 75%
26°C 12%
25°C 6%
24°C 3.2%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
75%
27°C or higher 75%
26°C 12%
25°C 6%
24°C 3.2%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
17°C or below
$1,304 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,766 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$86 Vol.
1%
23°C
$423 Vol.
1%
24°C
$49 Vol.
3%
25°C
$32 Vol.
6%
26°C
$97 Vol.
12%
27°C or higher
$84 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather project a daytime high of 27–30 °C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors strong solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Recent observations confirm similar conditions, with maxima of 26–29 °C recorded on May 14–15 and early-month peaks near 33 °C, all well above the May climatological average of 26 °C at Benito Juárez International Airport. Model consensus indicates only isolated afternoon showers, limiting the risk of prolonged cloud cover that could suppress temperatures below 27 °C. These meteorological factors explain the 89 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher, with remaining probability concentrated on modest cooling from brief convective activity. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$6,670Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather project a daytime high of 27–30 °C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors strong solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Recent observations confirm similar conditions, with maxima of 26–29 °C recorded on May 14–15 and early-month peaks near 33 °C, all well above the May climatological average of 26 °C at Benito Juárez International Airport. Model consensus indicates only isolated afternoon showers, limiting the risk of prolonged cloud cover that could suppress temperatures below 27 °C. These meteorological factors explain the 89 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher, with remaining probability concentrated on modest cooling from brief convective activity. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,670Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXCurrent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather project a daytime high of 27–30 °C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors strong solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Recent observations confirm similar conditions, with maxima of 26–29 °C recorded on May 14–15 and early-month peaks near 33 °C, all well above the May climatological average of 26 °C at Benito Juárez International Airport. Model consensus indicates only isolated afternoon showers, limiting the risk of prolonged cloud cover that could suppress temperatures below 27 °C. These meteorological factors explain the 89 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher, with remaining probability concentrated on modest cooling from brief convective activity. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will finalize resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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