Recent forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projects maximum temperatures of 26–28°C in Mexico City on May 17 under mostly sunny skies with ample daytime insolation, aligning with observed highs of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and climatological averages near 26°C at the 2,240-meter elevation of Benito Juárez International Airport. Persistent high-pressure patterns and seasonal solar forcing sustain this warm regime as the rainy season begins, pushing market-implied odds for 26°C or higher to 98.5%. Modest afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers could modestly suppress readings, though ensemble model runs assign low probability to widespread cooling below the 26°C threshold before final hourly observations resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 17?
26°C or higher 98.6%
25°C 1.2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
BAGO
$18,762 Vol.
BAGO
$18,762 Vol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 98.6%
25°C 1.2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
BAGO
$18,762 Vol.
BAGO
$18,762 Vol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,148 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,954 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,561 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,008 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,321 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,970 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,386 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,207 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,823 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$1,122 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projects maximum temperatures of 26–28°C in Mexico City on May 17 under mostly sunny skies with ample daytime insolation, aligning with observed highs of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and climatological averages near 26°C at the 2,240-meter elevation of Benito Juárez International Airport. Persistent high-pressure patterns and seasonal solar forcing sustain this warm regime as the rainy season begins, pushing market-implied odds for 26°C or higher to 98.5%. Modest afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers could modestly suppress readings, though ensemble model runs assign low probability to widespread cooling below the 26°C threshold before final hourly observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$18,762Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projects maximum temperatures of 26–28°C in Mexico City on May 17 under mostly sunny skies with ample daytime insolation, aligning with observed highs of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and climatological averages near 26°C at the 2,240-meter elevation of Benito Juárez International Airport. Persistent high-pressure patterns and seasonal solar forcing sustain this warm regime as the rainy season begins, pushing market-implied odds for 26°C or higher to 98.5%. Modest afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers could modestly suppress readings, though ensemble model runs assign low probability to widespread cooling below the 26°C threshold before final hourly observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,762Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXRecent forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projects maximum temperatures of 26–28°C in Mexico City on May 17 under mostly sunny skies with ample daytime insolation, aligning with observed highs of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and climatological averages near 26°C at the 2,240-meter elevation of Benito Juárez International Airport. Persistent high-pressure patterns and seasonal solar forcing sustain this warm regime as the rainy season begins, pushing market-implied odds for 26°C or higher to 98.5%. Modest afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers could modestly suppress readings, though ensemble model runs assign low probability to widespread cooling below the 26°C threshold before final hourly observations resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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