Current forecasts from Environment Canada call for a daytime high near 24–25°C in Toronto on May 17 under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow, anchoring trader consensus on those two outcomes. Numerical weather prediction models show tight agreement on peak afternoon temperatures driven by strong solar insolation and modest warm-air advection from the U.S. Midwest, though minor variations in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the narrow spread among 23–27°C buckets. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, so this episode reflects an above-normal warm surge that keeps probabilities balanced until final observational data resolve the exact maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Toronto on May 17?
25°C 28%
24°C 24%
27°C or higher 23.3%
23°C 14%
$25,191 Vol.
$25,191 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
23%
25°C 28%
24°C 24%
27°C or higher 23.3%
23°C 14%
$25,191 Vol.
$25,191 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZCurrent forecasts from Environment Canada call for a daytime high near 24–25°C in Toronto on May 17 under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow, anchoring trader consensus on those two outcomes. Numerical weather prediction models show tight agreement on peak afternoon temperatures driven by strong solar insolation and modest warm-air advection from the U.S. Midwest, though minor variations in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the narrow spread among 23–27°C buckets. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, so this episode reflects an above-normal warm surge that keeps probabilities balanced until final observational data resolve the exact maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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