Recent polls ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 40 percent support while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his ineligible father Jair Bolsonaro, trails in the low-to-mid 30s. This consistent gap leaves Flávio as the clear frontrunner for second place among a fragmented field that includes low-single-digit candidates such as Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Trader consensus at 83.5 percent for Flávio reflects the consolidation of conservative voters behind the family name, the absence of stronger challengers on the right, and Lula’s established base that makes an upset for second place unlikely absent major late-campaign shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоФлавіо Болсонару 84%
Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 8.2%
Ренан Сантос 6.0%
Роналду Каяду 1.1%
$4,607,232 Обс.
$4,607,232 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Флавіо Болсонару
84%
Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва
8%
Ренан Сантос
6%
Роналду Каяду
1%
Ромеу Земі
<1%
Фернандо Хаддад
<1%
Мішель Болсонару
<1%
Жаїр Болсонару
<1%
Камілу Сантана
<1%
Едуарду Болсонару
<1%
Алду Ребелу
<1%
Тарсіо де Фрейтас
<1%
Ратінью Жуніор
<1%
Жералду Алкмін
<1%
Едуарду Лейте
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Флавіо Болсонару 84%
Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 8.2%
Ренан Сантос 6.0%
Роналду Каяду 1.1%
$4,607,232 Обс.
$4,607,232 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Флавіо Болсонару
$251,942 Обс.
84%
Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва
$227,331 Обс.
8%
Ренан Сантос
$1,100,423 Обс.
6%
Роналду Каяду
$353,622 Обс.
1%
Ромеу Земі
$299,270 Обс.
<1%
Фернандо Хаддад
$692,351 Обс.
<1%
Мішель Болсонару
$133,214 Обс.
<1%
Жаїр Болсонару
$128,809 Обс.
<1%
Камілу Сантана
$104,312 Обс.
<1%
Едуарду Болсонару
$101,410 Обс.
<1%
Алду Ребелу
$62,257 Обс.
<1%
Тарсіо де Фрейтас
$197,416 Обс.
<1%
Ратінью Жуніор
$673,156 Обс.
<1%
Жералду Алкмін
$154,157 Обс.
<1%
Едуарду Лейте
$71,116 Обс.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$20,972 Обс.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$35,475 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 40 percent support while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his ineligible father Jair Bolsonaro, trails in the low-to-mid 30s. This consistent gap leaves Flávio as the clear frontrunner for second place among a fragmented field that includes low-single-digit candidates such as Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Trader consensus at 83.5 percent for Flávio reflects the consolidation of conservative voters behind the family name, the absence of stronger challengers on the right, and Lula’s established base that makes an upset for second place unlikely absent major late-campaign shifts.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,607,232Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 40 percent support while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his ineligible father Jair Bolsonaro, trails in the low-to-mid 30s. This consistent gap leaves Flávio as the clear frontrunner for second place among a fragmented field that includes low-single-digit candidates such as Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Trader consensus at 83.5 percent for Flávio reflects the consolidation of conservative voters behind the family name, the absence of stronger challengers on the right, and Lula’s established base that makes an upset for second place unlikely absent major late-campaign shifts.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$4,607,232Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 40 percent support while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his ineligible father Jair Bolsonaro, trails in the low-to-mid 30s. This consistent gap leaves Flávio as the clear frontrunner for second place among a fragmented field that includes low-single-digit candidates such as Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Trader consensus at 83.5 percent for Flávio reflects the consolidation of conservative voters behind the family name, the absence of stronger challengers on the right, and Lula’s established base that makes an upset for second place unlikely absent major late-campaign shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання