Recent developments in the Andes virus outbreak linked to an Antarctic cruise ship have elevated trader expectations for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by year-end, with the market currently implying a 75.5% probability of “Yes.” On May 8 the agency activated its Emergency Operations Center at the lowest Level 3 response tier after confirming cases and three deaths among dispersed international passengers, prompting enhanced U.S. state-level monitoring. Ongoing measles surges and sustained H5N1 avian influenza detections in humans add further epidemiological pressure, consistent with historical patterns of multiple Level 3 notices issued annually for comparable outbreaks. No Level 3 travel advisory exists yet, however, and official assessments continue to rate public risk as low. Weekly CDC surveillance updates and global case tracking through the summer will provide the next decisive data points that could shift consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
$117,078 Обс.
$117,078 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$117,078 Обс.
$117,078 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments in the Andes virus outbreak linked to an Antarctic cruise ship have elevated trader expectations for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by year-end, with the market currently implying a 75.5% probability of “Yes.” On May 8 the agency activated its Emergency Operations Center at the lowest Level 3 response tier after confirming cases and three deaths among dispersed international passengers, prompting enhanced U.S. state-level monitoring. Ongoing measles surges and sustained H5N1 avian influenza detections in humans add further epidemiological pressure, consistent with historical patterns of multiple Level 3 notices issued annually for comparable outbreaks. No Level 3 travel advisory exists yet, however, and official assessments continue to rate public risk as low. Weekly CDC surveillance updates and global case tracking through the summer will provide the next decisive data points that could shift consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$117,078Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments in the Andes virus outbreak linked to an Antarctic cruise ship have elevated trader expectations for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by year-end, with the market currently implying a 75.5% probability of “Yes.” On May 8 the agency activated its Emergency Operations Center at the lowest Level 3 response tier after confirming cases and three deaths among dispersed international passengers, prompting enhanced U.S. state-level monitoring. Ongoing measles surges and sustained H5N1 avian influenza detections in humans add further epidemiological pressure, consistent with historical patterns of multiple Level 3 notices issued annually for comparable outbreaks. No Level 3 travel advisory exists yet, however, and official assessments continue to rate public risk as low. Weekly CDC surveillance updates and global case tracking through the summer will provide the next decisive data points that could shift consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$117,078Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in the Andes virus outbreak linked to an Antarctic cruise ship have elevated trader expectations for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by year-end, with the market currently implying a 75.5% probability of “Yes.” On May 8 the agency activated its Emergency Operations Center at the lowest Level 3 response tier after confirming cases and three deaths among dispersed international passengers, prompting enhanced U.S. state-level monitoring. Ongoing measles surges and sustained H5N1 avian influenza detections in humans add further epidemiological pressure, consistent with historical patterns of multiple Level 3 notices issued annually for comparable outbreaks. No Level 3 travel advisory exists yet, however, and official assessments continue to rate public risk as low. Weekly CDC surveillance updates and global case tracking through the summer will provide the next decisive data points that could shift consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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