Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement on August 5, 2026, naming federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar (PL-AL) as his vice-presidential running mate for the October election has driven the near-certain market pricing. The choice followed weeks of internal Liberal Party discussions and failed efforts to secure a female candidate or broader centrist alliances, resulting in an all-PL ticket after other right-leaning parties largely declined national endorsements. Gaspar, a first-term lawmaker and former Alagoas public security secretary, brings regional northeastern representation and party loyalty that aligns with the campaign’s need to consolidate its base against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. While the announcement has locked in the frontrunner, late ticket substitutions remain theoretically possible ahead of the electoral court filing deadline if unforeseen legal or alliance developments arise.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAlfredo Gaspar 99.7%
Marcos Pontes <1%
Rogério Marinho <1%
Tereza Cristina <1%
$30,817 Обс.
$30,817 Обс.
Alfredo Gaspar
100%
Marcos Pontes
<1%
Rogério Marinho
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Simone Marquetto
<1%
Clarissa Tércio
<1%
Daniella Marques
<1%
Damares Alves
<1%
Renata Abreu
<1%
Gilson Machado
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Bia Kicis
<1%
Júlia Zanatta
<1%
Priscila Costa
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
Alfredo Gaspar 99.7%
Marcos Pontes <1%
Rogério Marinho <1%
Tereza Cristina <1%
$30,817 Обс.
$30,817 Обс.
Alfredo Gaspar
100%
Marcos Pontes
<1%
Rogério Marinho
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Simone Marquetto
<1%
Clarissa Tércio
<1%
Daniella Marques
<1%
Damares Alves
<1%
Renata Abreu
<1%
Gilson Machado
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Bia Kicis
<1%
Júlia Zanatta
<1%
Priscila Costa
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement on August 5, 2026, naming federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar (PL-AL) as his vice-presidential running mate for the October election has driven the near-certain market pricing. The choice followed weeks of internal Liberal Party discussions and failed efforts to secure a female candidate or broader centrist alliances, resulting in an all-PL ticket after other right-leaning parties largely declined national endorsements. Gaspar, a first-term lawmaker and former Alagoas public security secretary, brings regional northeastern representation and party loyalty that aligns with the campaign’s need to consolidate its base against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. While the announcement has locked in the frontrunner, late ticket substitutions remain theoretically possible ahead of the electoral court filing deadline if unforeseen legal or alliance developments arise.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Чи займе Флавіо Болсонару друге місце у першому турі президентських виборів у Бразилії 2026 року?
Чи переможе Луїс Інасіу Лула да Сілва на президентських виборах у Бразилії 2026 року?
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання