Iván Cepeda secured roughly 41 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election as the Historic Pact candidate backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, placing him firmly in the 40-45 percent range that now dominates trader pricing. Pre-election polls had shown him leading with support in the high 30s to low 40s, buoyed by his emphasis on peace negotiations, rural reform, and continuity with the incumbent administration, while the right-wing vote initially split between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella ultimately outperformed expectations and advanced to the June 21 runoff, but official tallies with nearly all ballots counted have remained stable. Late certification adjustments or successful legal challenges could theoretically alter the precise share, though current margins make meaningful movement outside the 40-45 percent band unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 98.8%
50-55% 2.9%
45-50% 1.6%
35-40% 1.1%
$31,803 Обс.
$31,803 Обс.
May 31, 2026
<30%
1%
30-35%
1%
35-40%
1%
40-45%
99%
45-50%
2%
50-55%
3%
55%+
<1%
40-45% 98.8%
50-55% 2.9%
45-50% 1.6%
35-40% 1.1%
$31,803 Обс.
$31,803 Обс.
May 31, 2026
<30%
$5,437 Обс.
1%
30-35%
$2,208 Обс.
1%
35-40%
$3,804 Обс.
1%
40-45%
$9,241 Обс.
99%
45-50%
$3,491 Обс.
2%
50-55%
$3,190 Обс.
3%
55%+
$4,432 Обс.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured roughly 41 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election as the Historic Pact candidate backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, placing him firmly in the 40-45 percent range that now dominates trader pricing. Pre-election polls had shown him leading with support in the high 30s to low 40s, buoyed by his emphasis on peace negotiations, rural reform, and continuity with the incumbent administration, while the right-wing vote initially split between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella ultimately outperformed expectations and advanced to the June 21 runoff, but official tallies with nearly all ballots counted have remained stable. Late certification adjustments or successful legal challenges could theoretically alter the precise share, though current margins make meaningful movement outside the 40-45 percent band unlikely.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Ринок відкрито: May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,803Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured roughly 41 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election as the Historic Pact candidate backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, placing him firmly in the 40-45 percent range that now dominates trader pricing. Pre-election polls had shown him leading with support in the high 30s to low 40s, buoyed by his emphasis on peace negotiations, rural reform, and continuity with the incumbent administration, while the right-wing vote initially split between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella ultimately outperformed expectations and advanced to the June 21 runoff, but official tallies with nearly all ballots counted have remained stable. Late certification adjustments or successful legal challenges could theoretically alter the precise share, though current margins make meaningful movement outside the 40-45 percent band unlikely.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Обсяг
$31,803Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iván Cepeda secured roughly 41 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election as the Historic Pact candidate backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, placing him firmly in the 40-45 percent range that now dominates trader pricing. Pre-election polls had shown him leading with support in the high 30s to low 40s, buoyed by his emphasis on peace negotiations, rural reform, and continuity with the incumbent administration, while the right-wing vote initially split between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella ultimately outperformed expectations and advanced to the June 21 runoff, but official tallies with nearly all ballots counted have remained stable. Late certification adjustments or successful legal challenges could theoretically alter the precise share, though current margins make meaningful movement outside the 40-45 percent band unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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