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Вибори·Глобальні вибори

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Вибори·Глобальні вибори

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 70%

Charles Milliard 20%

Christine Fréchette 11.8%

Éric Duhaime 1.0%

Polymarket

$26,855 Обс.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 70%

Charles Milliard 20%

Christine Fréchette 11.8%

Éric Duhaime 1.0%

Polymarket

$26,855 Обс.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$5,641 Обс.

70%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,821 Обс.

20%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,267 Обс.

12%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$6,162 Обс.

1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,795 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,789 Обс.

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,379 Обс.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling trends and seat projections position Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the trader consensus favorite for next premier, driven by sustained PQ strength among francophone voters and favorable electoral math for securing a National Assembly majority ahead of the October 2026 vote. New Liberal leader Charles Milliard, acclaimed earlier this year, has narrowed the popular vote gap in some surveys but trails in projected seat outcomes, limiting his market share. Christine Fréchette, who assumed the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership and premiership in April, benefits from incumbency yet contends with lower party support in current projections. Minor candidates such as Éric Duhaime, Sol Zanetti, and Ruba Ghazal register negligible probabilities amid limited polling traction. Key upcoming catalysts include further leadership debates and summer polling releases that could shift the race in this closely divided contest.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$26,855
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling trends and seat projections position Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the trader consensus favorite for next premier, driven by sustained PQ strength among francophone voters and favorable electoral math for securing a National Assembly majority ahead of the October 2026 vote. New Liberal leader Charles Milliard, acclaimed earlier this year, has narrowed the popular vote gap in some surveys but trails in projected seat outcomes, limiting his market share. Christine Fréchette, who assumed the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership and premiership in April, benefits from incumbency yet contends with lower party support in current projections. Minor candidates such as Éric Duhaime, Sol Zanetti, and Ruba Ghazal register negligible probabilities amid limited polling traction. Key upcoming catalysts include further leadership debates and summer polling releases that could shift the race in this closely divided contest.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$26,855
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Premier of Quebec» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Paul St-Pierre Plamondon» з 70%, далі «Charles Milliard» з 20%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Premier of Quebec» згенерував $26.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Premier of Quebec», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Premier of Quebec» — «Paul St-Pierre Plamondon» з 70%. Наступний — «Charles Milliard» з 20%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Premier of Quebec» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.