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icon for Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

icon for Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

$141,108 Vol.

Nov 4, 2026
Polymarket

$141,108 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

$44,237 Vol.

48%

icon for Susan Collins - ME-Sen

Susan Collins - ME-Sen

$545 Vol.

48%

icon for John Cornyn - TX-Sen

John Cornyn - TX-Sen

$60,172 Vol.

30%

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.President Donald Trump has emerged as the dominant influence in Republican primaries for the 2026 midterms, with his endorsements consistently favoring loyal incumbents and select open-seat candidates who demonstrate strong general-election viability. Recent activity includes over 130 endorsements ahead of Texas primaries and ongoing support for House races, where backed candidates have achieved near-perfect success rates so far. Traders monitor statements from the White House and Trump’s social media for signals on high-profile contests, such as the Texas Senate primary or the expected announcement for Kansas governor. Historical patterns show these endorsements often consolidate party support quickly, though outcomes in competitive districts remain subject to turnout and opposition challenges. Upcoming primary dates and potential late-cycle interventions could further shift positioning in key battlegrounds.

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$141,108
End Date
Nov 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.President Donald Trump has emerged as the dominant influence in Republican primaries for the 2026 midterms, with his endorsements consistently favoring loyal incumbents and select open-seat candidates who demonstrate strong general-election viability. Recent activity includes over 130 endorsements ahead of Texas primaries and ongoing support for House races, where backed candidates have achieved near-perfect success rates so far. Traders monitor statements from the White House and Trump’s social media for signals on high-profile contests, such as the Texas Senate primary or the expected announcement for Kansas governor. Historical patterns show these endorsements often consolidate party support quickly, though outcomes in competitive districts remain subject to turnout and opposition challenges. Upcoming primary dates and potential late-cycle interventions could further shift positioning in key battlegrounds.

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$141,108
End Date
Nov 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump endorse?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Barr - KY-Sen" at 100%, followed by "Steve Hilton - CA-Gov" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump endorse?" has generated $141.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump endorse?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump endorse?" is "Andy Barr - KY-Sen" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Steve Hilton - CA-Gov" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump endorse?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.