Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's strong reelection campaign in California's 21st Congressional District, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at overwhelming odds ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Central Valley seat leans D+6 based on 2024 presidential results, bolstered by mid-decade redistricting that shifted it leftward, while Costa holds a commanding fundraising edge with over $850,000 cash on hand versus Republicans Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios. No recent polls show challengers closing the gap, though a top-two primary upset or high GOP turnout could narrow general election prospects on November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-21 House Election Winner
CA-21 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
12%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,866 KL.
88%
Republican Party
$1,394 KL.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's strong reelection campaign in California's 21st Congressional District, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at overwhelming odds ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Central Valley seat leans D+6 based on 2024 presidential results, bolstered by mid-decade redistricting that shifted it leftward, while Costa holds a commanding fundraising edge with over $850,000 cash on hand versus Republicans Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios. No recent polls show challengers closing the gap, though a top-two primary upset or high GOP turnout could narrow general election prospects on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,260Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's strong reelection campaign in California's 21st Congressional District, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at overwhelming odds ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Central Valley seat leans D+6 based on 2024 presidential results, bolstered by mid-decade redistricting that shifted it leftward, while Costa holds a commanding fundraising edge with over $850,000 cash on hand versus Republicans Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios. No recent polls show challengers closing the gap, though a top-two primary upset or high GOP turnout could narrow general election prospects on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$4,260Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's strong reelection campaign in California's 21st Congressional District, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at overwhelming odds ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Central Valley seat leans D+6 based on 2024 presidential results, bolstered by mid-decade redistricting that shifted it leftward, while Costa holds a commanding fundraising edge with over $850,000 cash on hand versus Republicans Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios. No recent polls show challengers closing the gap, though a top-two primary upset or high GOP turnout could narrow general election prospects on November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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