Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the daily minimum air temperature at its Kowloon headquarters reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby low-pressure trough, coupled with thunderstorm activity and high humidity, inhibited radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island amplified warmth—conditions aligning with May climatology where minimums average 25-27°C per 30-year normals. Preceding 9-day forecasts from HKO accurately projected this level amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures. Post-measurement revisions are exceedingly rare, but could theoretically arise from data validation errors; no such updates are anticipated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 14?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,007 KL.
$31,007 KL.
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,007 KL.
$31,007 KL.
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
$618 KL.
No
18°C
$821 KL.
No
19°C
$973 KL.
No
20°C
$1,210 KL.
No
21°C
$2,062 KL.
No
22°C
$1,948 KL.
No
23°C
$5,603 KL.
No
24°C
$4,174 KL.
No
25°C
$1,812 KL.
No
26°C
$4,804 KL.
Yes
27°C or higher
$6,982 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the daily minimum air temperature at its Kowloon headquarters reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby low-pressure trough, coupled with thunderstorm activity and high humidity, inhibited radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island amplified warmth—conditions aligning with May climatology where minimums average 25-27°C per 30-year normals. Preceding 9-day forecasts from HKO accurately projected this level amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures. Post-measurement revisions are exceedingly rare, but could theoretically arise from data validation errors; no such updates are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$31,007Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the daily minimum air temperature at its Kowloon headquarters reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby low-pressure trough, coupled with thunderstorm activity and high humidity, inhibited radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island amplified warmth—conditions aligning with May climatology where minimums average 25-27°C per 30-year normals. Preceding 9-day forecasts from HKO accurately projected this level amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures. Post-measurement revisions are exceedingly rare, but could theoretically arise from data validation errors; no such updates are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$31,007Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the daily minimum air temperature at its Kowloon headquarters reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby low-pressure trough, coupled with thunderstorm activity and high humidity, inhibited radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island amplified warmth—conditions aligning with May climatology where minimums average 25-27°C per 30-year normals. Preceding 9-day forecasts from HKO accurately projected this level amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures. Post-measurement revisions are exceedingly rare, but could theoretically arise from data validation errors; no such updates are anticipated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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