Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives feature a tight contest for second place, with trader consensus assigning RNI the highest probability at 39 percent, followed by PAM at 27 percent, Istiqlal (PI) at 24.5 percent, and PJD at 21.7 percent. The fragmented field stems from the incumbent RNI-PAM-PI governing alliance’s internal competition and regional strongholds, alongside PJD’s efforts to regain ground lost in 2021. Recent candidate-list announcements, limited cross-party defections, and campaign focus on employment, purchasing power, and turnout have kept probabilities clustered, as no single opposition force has consolidated enough momentum to separate clearly from the pack. Late shifts in voter mobilization or coalition signaling in the final days could still alter the ordering.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRNI 34%
PAM 27%
PI 24.0%
PJD 1.9%
$32,662 KL.
$32,662 KL.
Sep 23, 2026
RNI
40%
PAM
27%
PI
24%
PJD
22%
UC
1%
MP
1%
USFP
1%
PPS
<1%
RNI 34%
PAM 27%
PI 24.0%
PJD 1.9%
$32,662 KL.
$32,662 KL.
Sep 23, 2026
RNI
$8,073 KL.
40%
PAM
$5,639 KL.
27%
PI
$15,747 KL.
24%
PJD
$939 KL.
22%
UC
$532 KL.
1%
MP
$615 KL.
1%
USFP
$545 KL.
1%
PPS
$571 KL.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives feature a tight contest for second place, with trader consensus assigning RNI the highest probability at 39 percent, followed by PAM at 27 percent, Istiqlal (PI) at 24.5 percent, and PJD at 21.7 percent. The fragmented field stems from the incumbent RNI-PAM-PI governing alliance’s internal competition and regional strongholds, alongside PJD’s efforts to regain ground lost in 2021. Recent candidate-list announcements, limited cross-party defections, and campaign focus on employment, purchasing power, and turnout have kept probabilities clustered, as no single opposition force has consolidated enough momentum to separate clearly from the pack. Late shifts in voter mobilization or coalition signaling in the final days could still alter the ordering.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Khối lượng
$32,662Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives feature a tight contest for second place, with trader consensus assigning RNI the highest probability at 39 percent, followed by PAM at 27 percent, Istiqlal (PI) at 24.5 percent, and PJD at 21.7 percent. The fragmented field stems from the incumbent RNI-PAM-PI governing alliance’s internal competition and regional strongholds, alongside PJD’s efforts to regain ground lost in 2021. Recent candidate-list announcements, limited cross-party defections, and campaign focus on employment, purchasing power, and turnout have kept probabilities clustered, as no single opposition force has consolidated enough momentum to separate clearly from the pack. Late shifts in voter mobilization or coalition signaling in the final days could still alter the ordering.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Khối lượng
$32,662Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives feature a tight contest for second place, with trader consensus assigning RNI the highest probability at 39 percent, followed by PAM at 27 percent, Istiqlal (PI) at 24.5 percent, and PJD at 21.7 percent. The fragmented field stems from the incumbent RNI-PAM-PI governing alliance’s internal competition and regional strongholds, alongside PJD’s efforts to regain ground lost in 2021. Recent candidate-list announcements, limited cross-party defections, and campaign focus on employment, purchasing power, and turnout have kept probabilities clustered, as no single opposition force has consolidated enough momentum to separate clearly from the pack. Late shifts in voter mobilization or coalition signaling in the final days could still alter the ordering.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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