Bank of Canada officials have held the overnight policy rate steady at 2.25 percent since the April 29 announcement, anchoring the 95.9 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 meeting. Softening labor-market indicators, including an April employment decline and unemployment near 6.9 percent, alongside moderate first-quarter GDP growth, point to excess capacity that supports maintaining current monetary policy. While headline CPI rose to 2.4 percent in March amid elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments, core measures have remained near 2.2 percent with limited broad-based pass-through, aligning with the Bank’s base-case forecast for inflation to return to the 2 percent target in 2027. Traders view continuity as the baseline outcome unless the May 19 CPI release or subsequent data reveal persistent inflationary pressures that alter the outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於No change 96.0%
Increase 2.8%
25 bps decrease 1.3%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,453 交易量
$26,453 交易量
2026-06-10
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
96%
Increase
3%
No change 96.0%
Increase 2.8%
25 bps decrease 1.3%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,453 交易量
$26,453 交易量
2026-06-10
50+ bps decrease
$4,584 交易量
1%
25 bps decrease
$4,363 交易量
1%
No change
$9,496 交易量
96%
Increase
$8,011 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Canada officials have held the overnight policy rate steady at 2.25 percent since the April 29 announcement, anchoring the 95.9 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 meeting. Softening labor-market indicators, including an April employment decline and unemployment near 6.9 percent, alongside moderate first-quarter GDP growth, point to excess capacity that supports maintaining current monetary policy. While headline CPI rose to 2.4 percent in March amid elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments, core measures have remained near 2.2 percent with limited broad-based pass-through, aligning with the Bank’s base-case forecast for inflation to return to the 2 percent target in 2027. Traders view continuity as the baseline outcome unless the May 19 CPI release or subsequent data reveal persistent inflationary pressures that alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$26,453結束日期
2026-06-10市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Canada officials have held the overnight policy rate steady at 2.25 percent since the April 29 announcement, anchoring the 95.9 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 meeting. Softening labor-market indicators, including an April employment decline and unemployment near 6.9 percent, alongside moderate first-quarter GDP growth, point to excess capacity that supports maintaining current monetary policy. While headline CPI rose to 2.4 percent in March amid elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments, core measures have remained near 2.2 percent with limited broad-based pass-through, aligning with the Bank’s base-case forecast for inflation to return to the 2 percent target in 2027. Traders view continuity as the baseline outcome unless the May 19 CPI release or subsequent data reveal persistent inflationary pressures that alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$26,453結束日期
2026-06-10市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bank of Canada officials have held the overnight policy rate steady at 2.25 percent since the April 29 announcement, anchoring the 95.9 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 meeting. Softening labor-market indicators, including an April employment decline and unemployment near 6.9 percent, alongside moderate first-quarter GDP growth, point to excess capacity that supports maintaining current monetary policy. While headline CPI rose to 2.4 percent in March amid elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments, core measures have remained near 2.2 percent with limited broad-based pass-through, aligning with the Bank’s base-case forecast for inflation to return to the 2 percent target in 2027. Traders view continuity as the baseline outcome unless the May 19 CPI release or subsequent data reveal persistent inflationary pressures that alter the outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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