California's 10th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+18, reflected in Cook Political Report and Inside Elections ratings as solidly Democratic ahead of the June 2, 2026 top-two primary. Incumbent Representative Mark DeSaulnier benefits from established name recognition, fundraising advantages, and alignment with the district's voter registration edge, limiting Republican challengers such as Jeffrey Frese and Angela Griffiths to minimal viability in the general election. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates historical turnout patterns and the absence of recent polling shifts or major scandals. Potential disruptions remain tied to unforeseen events like candidate health developments, late primary upsets among Democratic contenders including Josh Hamilton or Mitchell Maisler, or broader national political realignments that could influence November turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$13,469 交易量
$13,469 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$13,469 交易量
$13,469 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$7,846 交易量
93%
Republican Party
$5,623 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 10th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+18, reflected in Cook Political Report and Inside Elections ratings as solidly Democratic ahead of the June 2, 2026 top-two primary. Incumbent Representative Mark DeSaulnier benefits from established name recognition, fundraising advantages, and alignment with the district's voter registration edge, limiting Republican challengers such as Jeffrey Frese and Angela Griffiths to minimal viability in the general election. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates historical turnout patterns and the absence of recent polling shifts or major scandals. Potential disruptions remain tied to unforeseen events like candidate health developments, late primary upsets among Democratic contenders including Josh Hamilton or Mitchell Maisler, or broader national political realignments that could influence November turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$13,469結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 10th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+18, reflected in Cook Political Report and Inside Elections ratings as solidly Democratic ahead of the June 2, 2026 top-two primary. Incumbent Representative Mark DeSaulnier benefits from established name recognition, fundraising advantages, and alignment with the district's voter registration edge, limiting Republican challengers such as Jeffrey Frese and Angela Griffiths to minimal viability in the general election. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates historical turnout patterns and the absence of recent polling shifts or major scandals. Potential disruptions remain tied to unforeseen events like candidate health developments, late primary upsets among Democratic contenders including Josh Hamilton or Mitchell Maisler, or broader national political realignments that could influence November turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,469結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 10th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+18, reflected in Cook Political Report and Inside Elections ratings as solidly Democratic ahead of the June 2, 2026 top-two primary. Incumbent Representative Mark DeSaulnier benefits from established name recognition, fundraising advantages, and alignment with the district's voter registration edge, limiting Republican challengers such as Jeffrey Frese and Angela Griffiths to minimal viability in the general election. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates historical turnout patterns and the absence of recent polling shifts or major scandals. Potential disruptions remain tied to unforeseen events like candidate health developments, late primary upsets among Democratic contenders including Josh Hamilton or Mitchell Maisler, or broader national political realignments that could influence November turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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